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Penerapan Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator Menggunakan Algoritma Least Angle Regression dalam Penanganan Multikolinearitas pada Data Inflasi

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dc.contributor Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam
dc.creator Maulina, Silvia
dc.creator Karyana, Yayat
dc.date 2020-09-03
dc.date.accessioned 2021-03-15T03:44:41Z
dc.date.available 2021-03-15T03:44:41Z
dc.identifier http://karyailmiah.unisba.ac.id/index.php/statistika/article/view/24622
dc.identifier 10.29313/.v6i2.24622
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/28822
dc.description Abstract. Multicollinearity can make the estimator unstable and the residual variance increases so that the confidence interval for β tends to be wider and makes the t count in the partial test insignificant even though the resulting  is large. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operators can shrink the regression coefficients from insignificant variables to zero and even zero and can select variables so that variables that have high correlation with other variables are selected from the model and the resulting model becomes easier to interpret. To simplify the computation of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator the least angle regression algorithm is used. This algorithm is more efficient to use and is designed to produce linear models. Based on inflation data and the factors that influence it, it is obtained from the independent variable jumlah uang beredar , nilai tukar , harga minyak dunia , indeks harga ekspor , indeks harga impor , upah pekerja , and harga beras only variables of jumlah uang beredar and upah pekerja that significantly influence inflation with α = 5% in the estimation using MKT. In the estimation of least absolute shrinkage and selection operators using the least angle regression algorithm, the best model chosen based on the 10-fold cross validation is in the second stage, namely  with a minimum  value of 0.2092029 and  minimum is 0.851385423.Keywords: Metode Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator Method, Least Angle Regression Algorithm, Multicollinearity, 10-fold cross validation.Abstrak. Multikolinearitas dapat membuat penaksir tidak stabil dan varians sisaan membesar sehingga selang kepercayaan bagi  cenderung lebih lebar dan membuat  pada uji parsial tidak signifikan meskipun  yang dihasilkan besar. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator dapat menyusutkan koefisien regresi dari variabel yang tidak signifikan menuju nol bahkan tepat nol serta dapat melakukan seleksi variabel sehingga variabel yang memiliki korelasi tinggi dengan variabel lain terseleksi dari model dan model yang dihasilkan menjadi lebih mudah diinterpretasikan. Untuk mempermudah komputasi least absolute shrinkage and selection operator digunakan algoritma least angle regression. Algoritma ini lebih efisien digunakan dan didesain untuk menghasilkan model linear. Berdasarkan data inflasi beserta faktor-faktor yang memengaruhinya diperoleh dari variabel independen jumlah uang beredar , nilai tukar , harga minyak dunia , indeks harga ekspor , indeks harga impor , upah pekerja , dan harga beras  hanya variabel jumlah uang beredar dan upah pekerja yang signifikan memengaruhi inflasi dengan  pada taksiran menggunakan MKT. Pada taksiran least absolute shrinkage and selection operator  menggunakan algoritma least angle regresion didapatkan model terbaik yang dipilih berdasarkan validasi silang 10-fold berada pada tahap kedua yaitu  dengan nilai  minimum sebesar 0.2092029 dan  minimum sebesar 0.851385423. Kata Kunci: Metode Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, Algoritma Least Angle Regression, Multikolinearitas, 10-fold cross validation.
dc.language id
dc.publisher Universitas islam Bandung
dc.rights Copyright (c) 2020 Prosiding Statistika
dc.source Prosiding Statistika; Vol 6, No 2, Prosiding Statistika (Agustus, 2020); 304-311
dc.source Prosiding Statistika; Vol 6, No 2, Prosiding Statistika (Agustus, 2020); 304-311
dc.source 2460-6456
dc.source 10.29313/.v6i2
dc.subject Statistika
dc.subject Metode Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, Algoritma Least Angle Regression, Multikolinearitas, 10-fold cross validation.
dc.title Penerapan Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator Menggunakan Algoritma Least Angle Regression dalam Penanganan Multikolinearitas pada Data Inflasi
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type Peer-reviewed Article
dc.type kuantitatif


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